January 2019 Market Update
New Video Series
The Old Market is gone and the New Market is here! We’ll be keeping you up to date with strategies for the New Market in our new weekly video series: Your Real Estate Minute, posting a new video every Friday on our Facebook and YouTube pages. Like these emails, the videos aren’t just cut-and-pasted content and my goal is for the videos to communicate important points in a fun way. Thanks for great (and funny) feedback and reactions we received on the first video of the series (link below):
Around the Neighborhood
4th Quarter Contest – The results are in! We announced the results and the winner in the video below.
Jeff Liao is a great friend and colleague that I respect very much. Additionally, his business is very similar to mine. In September we strategized on a way to keep our accountability, motivation, and businesses operating a high level in the 4th quarter which is typically a time when the market and agent activity slows. Long story short, we had a great time with the contest but the true winners were the families we helped buy or sell homes
In 2018, home prices appreciated 6.8% and 5.8% for detached and attached homes, respectively. Interestingly, in December we saw attached home prices fall 6.7% compared to December of 2017. Just as we noticed and discussed the market changing in June of last year (before everyone else was talking about it!), time will tell is this December price depreciation is an anomaly or a trend. If we see a trend develop, you’ll hear it here first so stay tuned!
In 2016 and 2017, we saw the inventory of homes for sale fall compared to the previous year. December 2018 was a different story. For the first time in over 5 years, we saw inventory rise year-over-year and rise significantly posting 30.7% and 72.6% for detached and attached homes, respectively. Another interesting factoid is that December typically has the lowest inventory of any month during the year. But wait, there’s more!
The graph above shows monthly inventory back to late 2015. Look at the areas I’ve circled on the graph. Typically, we see huge spikes in inventory in January with the number of homes available doubling (or more) from December. If December inventory was already up 30% from previous Decembers, what will January numbers look like and how will that impact the market? All great questions which remain to be seen. On a related note, affordability actually went down in December compared with previous years even though inventory was up 30%.
Please contact me for additional details on any of the properties above.
3566 Wild Oak Ln
Escondido, CA 92027
Are you considering making a move in 2019?
Give me a call, text, e-mail, or instant message, and let’s start strategizing on making that move smartly and smoothly!
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