Phil Gibbs Real Estate Newsletter – January 2019

Posted

This Month in Real Estate

January 2019 Market Update                                                                               
  • New Video Series
  • Around the Neighborhood
  • State of the Market
  • Active, Coming Soon, Pending Listings
  • Video Surprise! 

New Video Series                                                                                                 

The Old Market is gone and the New Market is here! We’ll be keeping you up to date with strategies for the New Market in our new weekly video series: Your Real Estate Minute, posting a new video every Friday on our Facebook and YouTube pages. Like these emails, the videos aren’t just cut-and-pasted content and my goal is for the videos to communicate important points in a fun way. Thanks for great (and funny) feedback and reactions we received on the first video of the series (link below):

VIDEO

Around the Neighborhood                                                                                 

4th Quarter Contest – The results are in!  We announced the results and the winner in the video below.

Jeff Liao is a great friend and colleague that I respect very much.  Additionally, his business is very similar to mine. In September we strategized on a way to keep our accountability, motivation, and businesses operating a high level in the 4th quarter which is typically a time when the market and agent activity slows. Long story short, we had a great time with the contest but the true winners were the families we helped buy or sell homes 

 
Home Prices                                                                                                        

In 2018, home prices appreciated 6.8% and 5.8% for detached and attached homes, respectively.  Interestingly, in December we saw attached home prices fall 6.7% compared to December of 2017.  Just as we noticed and discussed the market changing in June of last year (before everyone else was talking about it!), time will tell is this December price depreciation is an anomaly or a trend. If we see a trend develop, you’ll hear it here first so stay tuned!

 Inventory                                                                                                              

In 2016 and 2017, we saw the inventory of homes for sale fall compared to the previous year. December 2018 was a different story.  For the first time in over 5 years, we saw inventory rise year-over-year and rise significantly posting 30.7% and 72.6% for detached and attached homes, respectively. Another interesting factoid is that December typically has the lowest inventory of any month during the year.  But wait, there’s more!

The graph above shows monthly inventory back to late 2015. Look at the areas I’ve circled on the graph. Typically, we see huge spikes in inventory in January with the number of homes available doubling (or more) from December.  If December inventory was already up 30% from previous Decembers, what will January numbers look like and how will that impact the market?  All great questions which remain to be seen. On a related note, affordability actually went down in December compared with previous years even though inventory was up 30%.

 
Active Listings                                                                             


Coming Soon!                                                                                                    

                                                                            
  • 3-Bed, 2-Bath, 1,622 SF home on 1/2-acre lot in east Escondido, mid-$500k.
  • 3-Bed, 2-Bath 2,200 SF beach-front townhome in North San Diego County, low-$2-million
  • 4-Bed, 4-Bath, 4,000 SF single-level home, tennis/sport court, award-winning vineyard in Rancho Santa Fe, mid-$3-million
  • 3-Bed, 2.5-Bath, 1,766 SF home in north Escondido, low-$500k
  • 25-acre Ranch in east Escondido, low-$1-million 
  • 100+-acre ranch in east Escondido, mid-$2-million

Please contact me for additional details on any of the properties above.

Pending Listings                                                                                                
 

3566 Wild Oak Ln

Escondido, CA 92027

 

Video Surprise                                                                                                       

 

________________________________________________________________

Are you considering making a move in 2019?

Give me a call, text, e-mail, or instant message, and let’s start strategizing on making that move smartly and smoothly!

________________________________________________________________

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion expressed on This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some degree of risk. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This Month in Real Estate. 
 

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Phil Gibbs Real Estate Newsletter – January 2019

Posted

This Month in Real Estate

January 2019 Market Update                                                                               

  • New Video Series
  • Around the Neighborhood
  • State of the Market
  • Active, Coming Soon, Pending Listings
  • Video Surprise! 

New Video Series                                                                       

The Old Market is gone and the New Market is here! We’ll be keeping you up to date with strategies for the New Market in our new weekly video series: Your Real Estate Minute, posting a new video every Friday on our Facebook and YouTube pages. Like these emails, the videos aren’t just cut-and-pasted content and my goal is for the videos to communicate important points in a fun way. Thanks for great (and funny) feedback and reactions we received on the first video of the series (link below):

VIDEO

Around the Neighborhood                                                                                 

4th Quarter Contest – The results are in!  We announced the results and the winner in the video below.

Jeff Liao is a great friend and colleague that I respect very much.  Additionally, his business is very similar to mine. In September we strategized on a way to keep our accountability, motivation, and businesses operating a high level in the 4th quarter which is typically a time when the market and agent activity slows. Long story short, we had a great time with the contest but the true winners were the families we helped buy or sell homes 

 

Home Prices                                                                                                        

In 2018, home prices appreciated 6.8% and 5.8% for detached and attached homes, respectively.  Interestingly, in December we saw attached home prices fall 6.7% compared to December of 2017.  Just as we noticed and discussed the market changing in June of last year (before everyone else was talking about it!), time will tell is this December price depreciation is an anomaly or a trend. If we see a trend develop, you’ll hear it here first so stay tuned!

   

 Inventory                                                                                

In 2016 and 2017, we saw the inventory of homes for sale fall compared to the previous year. December 2018 was a different story.  For the first time in over 5 years, we saw inventory rise year-over-year and rise significantly posting 30.7% and 72.6% for detached and attached homes, respectively. Another interesting factoid is that December typically has the lowest inventory of any month during the year.  But wait, there’s more!

The graph above shows monthly inventory back to late 2015. Look at the areas I’ve circled on the graph. Typically, we see huge spikes in inventory in January with the number of homes available doubling (or more) from December.  If December inventory was already up 30% from previous Decembers, what will January numbers look like and how will that impact the market?  All great questions which remain to be seen. On a related note, affordability actually went down in December compared with previous years even though inventory was up 30%.

    Active Listings                                                                             

click to learn more

Coming Soon!                                                                                                    

  • 3-Bed, 2-Bath, 1,622 SF home on 1/2-acre lot in east Escondido, mid-$500k.
  • 3-Bed, 2-Bath 2,200 SF beach-front townhome in North San Diego County, low-$2-million
  • 4-Bed, 4-Bath, 4,000 SF single-level home, tennis/sport court, award-winning vineyard in Rancho Santa Fe, mid-$3-million
  • 3-Bed, 2.5-Bath, 1,766 SF home in north Escondido, low-$500k
  • 25-acre Ranch in east Escondido, low-$1-million 
  • 100+-acre ranch in east Escondido, mid-$2-million

Please contact me for additional details on any of the properties above.

Pending Listings                                                                                                                                                             

3566 Wild Oak Ln

Escondido, CA 92027

 

Video Surprise                                                                                                       

________________________________________________________________

Are you considering making a move in 2019?

Give me a call, text, e-mail, or instant message, and let’s start strategizing on making that move smartly and smoothly!

________________________________________________________________

Brought to you by KW Research. For additional graphs and details, please see the This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint Report.The opinions expressed in This Month in Real Estate are intended to supplement opinions on real estate expressed by local and national media, local real estate agents and other expert sources. You should not treat any opinion expressed on This Month in Real Estate as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of opinion. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., does not guarantee and is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information, and provides said information without warranties of any kind. All information presented herein is intended and should be used for educational purposes only. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. All investments involve some degree of risk. Keller Williams Realty, Inc., will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on information contained in This Month in Real Estate.